Current Market Situation and Price Development
Recently, the Petrobras stock has shown a positive impulse by crossing the 50-day line, which is seen as a technical buy signal. Despite this short-term upswing, the stock has been in a long-term downtrend since April, losing about 17.8% of its value. The distance to the 200-day line is -12.87%, which raises questions about a full recovery.
Fundamental Factors
Petrobras continues its attractive dividend policy, with a yield of around 12% expected for 2025. As an integrated oil and gas company, Petrobras benefits directly from rising raw material prices, fueled by geopolitical tensions.
Forecasts and Risks
| Month | Average Price (USD) | Low | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| July | $10.63 | $8.77 | $11.95 |
| August | $10.93 | $10.21 | $11.18 |
| September | $10.86 | $10.48 | $11.62 |
The average ADR price for the year is projected to be around $12.36, with estimates ranging between $6.22 and $18.50. These fluctuations highlight the volatility.
Buying Opportunity or Not?
Petrobras offers an interesting opportunity for risk-tolerant investors. Attractive dividends, rising prices, and higher oil prices have positive effects, but volatility and risks remain. A solid understanding of the risk profile and the energy market is crucial for investment decisions.