11.07.2025

Oil Prices at Critical Resistance Levels – What Does It Mean for the Market?

The oil prices, particularly for Brent and WTI, have recently reached critical resistance levels. Brent is hovering around 70 US dollars per barrel, while WTI stood at around 68.33 US dollars. This threshold is crucial for the further development of the market.

Factors Influencing Oil Prices

Several aspects contribute to the current price movements:

  • Political Tensions in the Middle East: Conflicts, particularly between Israel and Iran, as well as attacks by the Houthi militia in the Red Sea, lead to supply concerns and short-term price spikes.
  • US Tariff Policy: New tariffs from the US on various goods create uncertainty and could dampen oil demand.
  • OPEC+ Production Policy: A potential pause in production increases starting in October could further impact the market.
  • Supply Surplus: Experts expect a supply surplus that could push prices down to about 60 US dollars by the end of the year.

Impact on Shell Stock

For Shell stock, rising oil prices are positive, as they typically strengthen the business results and influence the stock price. The current upward trend in crude oil quotes gives Shell a boost.

Factor Impact on Oil Price & Shell Stock
Brent near $70 Critical resistance; signal for market decision
Political Tensions Short-term price spikes due to supply concerns
US Tariff Policy Increased uncertainty; potentially dampening
OPEC+ Production Levels Possible pause in production could stabilize prices
Supply Surplus Expected price pressure in the medium term

The factors mentioned make the current market situation a decisive phase for oil prices and investments, especially in companies like Shell.