12.07.2025

Escalation in Trade Conflict: Trump’s Tariffs Against the EU

Introduction and Announcement of Tariffs

U.S. President Donald Trump announced on July 12, 2025, that he would impose 30 percent tariffs on imports from the European Union, effective August 1, 2025. This measure marks a significant escalation in the trade conflict between the U.S. and the EU and could severely impact the European export economy.

Reasons and Justification

Trump justifies the tariff increase by citing the persistent trade deficit of the U.S. with the EU, which he sees as a national security threat. Despite weeks of negotiations, no breakthrough occurred, leading to this drastic announcement.

Economic Impact

Experts view this tariff introduction as potentially destabilizing for global markets, as uncertainties are created and countermeasures from the EU are likely to follow. The EU is already planning retaliatory tariffs, which could further escalate the trade dispute.

The tariffs could trigger an economic crisis for European exporters, as increased import costs in the U.S. may lead to a decline in demand. This would not only impact individual sectors but could also threaten jobs and economic growth in Europe, creating uncertainty in financial markets.

Strategic Dimension

This measure is part of a broader U.S. strategy and applies not only to the EU but also to Mexico, showing the use of tariff policy as a political lever.

It remains to be seen whether the threat of tariffs is a negotiation tactic or to be taken seriously. Some voices see it as an attempt to extract further concessions from the EU. Nevertheless, the risk of further escalation remains high.

This development marks a new peak in the transatlantic trade dispute and could have far-reaching consequences for both parties in the conflict as well as the global economy as a whole.