15.07.2025

China’s GDP Growth in the Second Quarter of 2025: A Closer Look

China’s Economic Data: An Overview

The GDP growth data for China in the second quarter of 2025 is of great significance to investors, as it provides important insights into the economic health of the world’s second-largest economy, which can influence global markets, including commodities and stock markets.

Growth Figures and Expectations

In the second quarter of 2025, China’s gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 5.2% year-on-year, slightly exceeding market expectations of 5.1%. This represents a slight slowdown compared to the first quarter, where growth was 5.4%.

Compared to the previous quarter, GDP increased by 1.1%, also above the forecasts of 0.9%.

Other Economic Indicators

Other important metrics from June show:

  • Industrial production surged with a growth of 6.8%, significantly stronger than expected (forecast around 5.6–5.7%) and compared to May (5.8%).
  • Retail sales rose by 4.8%, which, however, was below expectations and significantly under last year’s figure (6.4%).
  • Investments in fixed assets grew by only about 2.8% in the first half of the year, also under the expectations of around 3.6–3.7%.

These data suggest that despite some headwinds such as trade conflicts with the USA, China continues to show robust economic growth; however, there are signs of a slight cooling in consumption and investments. Analysts warn of increasing challenges for Chinese economic policy and may expect further economic measures to stabilize growth.

Relevance for Investors

These numbers are relevant for investors:

  • A stronger-than-expected GDP growth can provide positive impulses globally.
  • Strong industrial production supports demand for commodities.
  • Weaker consumption might signal risks for certain sectors.

Overall, China’s economy confirms its resilience in a challenging global environment.