Development of BASF Stock Price
The BASF stock is in the spotlight of investors and analysts after the quarterly numbers for Q1 2025 were released. Currently, the stock is priced at around €44.50, but it lost -1.1% on the day of the Annual General Meeting. After dipping below €40 in early April, it shows signs of recovery, but the stock is currently facing a resistance area of €45–46, intensified by the 200-day line. A breakthrough above €46 could trigger a buy signal towards €47.50.
Analyst Assessments
Analysts’ opinions on BASF stock are mixed: Bernstein Research rates the stock as “Outperform” with a target price of €60, while JPMorgan classifies it as “Underweight” with a target price of only the current €45.
Fundamental Data and Future Outlook
The Q1 results show a slight decline compared to the previous year, due to margin pressure and volume weakness. The forecast for 2025 remains unchanged, but it shows certain risks:
| Indicator | Forecast 2025 |
|---|---|
| EBITDA before special effects | €8.0–8.4 billion |
| Free Cash Flow | €0.4–0.8 billion |
| CO₂ Emissions | 16.7–17.7 million tons |
Volatile raw material prices and trade conflicts, particularly US tariff policies, remain significant risks.
Technical Perspectives
The technical forecast for July 2025 suggests a potential price movement between €37.31 and €41.23, indicating short-term volatility. It will be crucial whether the stock can overcome the resistance at ~€46 or achieve stabilization above the support at ~€42.