15.05.2025

Nvidia’s Challenges and Strategy in the Sino-American Trade Conflict

Challenges from Export Restrictions

  • Financial Impact: Nvidia has announced that the new export restrictions could have a financial impact of approximately $5.5 billion. This is mainly due to the requirement to obtain special export licenses for its chips, significantly complicating the sale of its H20 chips in China.
  • Market Loss: The restrictions could jeopardize Nvidia’s market shares in China, as the company struggles to deliver its products to Chinese customers in a timely manner and in sufficient quantities.

New Strategy to Secure the Chinese Market

  • Adjustment of H20 Chips: Nvidia has begun modifying its H20 chips for the Chinese market to circumvent the U.S. export restrictions. These adjustments aim to modify the chips to comply with the new regulations while remaining competitive.
  • Support from U.S. Policy: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has advocated for faster global dissemination of U.S. AI technology to strengthen the U.S. position in the global AI market. He hopes that the U.S. government will adjust its policy to promote the global dissemination of AI technology.

Importance for Investors

  • Long-term Perspectives: Despite the current challenges, Nvidia’s strategy could lead to a stabilization of the company in the Chinese market in the long run. Investors are closely watching developments as they hope for a possible recovery of the stock.
  • Market Conditions: The development of U.S. regulations, especially the planned announcement of new AI dissemination rules on May 15, could be crucial for Nvidia’s future strategy. These rules could influence the global dissemination of AI technology and thus Nvidia’s competitiveness in the Chinese market.

Overall, Nvidia faces significant challenges, but the new strategy to adjust the H20 chips and the hope for supportive U.S. policy could secure access to the Chinese market and improve long-term prospects for investors.