31.05.2025

Current Weakness in Gold Prices: Causes and Effects

The gold price is currently showing a phase of weakness, recording a decline of about -1.9% this week. This development is significantly influenced by geopolitical tensions as well as economic changes that affect investor behavior.

Gold Price Development in May 2025

  • At the beginning of the month, the gold price was around $3,301 per ounce, with a high of about $3,481 and a low of around $3,123.
  • Throughout the month, fluctuations occurred, with the price recently falling back to approximately $3,200.
  • The forecast for June and July indicates a further slight downward movement, with expected declines of -5.2% in June and -1.9% in July.

Influencing Factors

  • Geopolitical tensions create uncertainty in the markets, which typically influences the demand for safe assets like gold.
  • Economic turns, especially concerning inflation expectations (e.g., US inflation at around 2.3%), also impact the gold price.

Regional Buying Dynamics

  • Asian buyers continue to show interest in the precious metal as a hedge against economic risks.
  • In contrast, there is restraint in purchases in Western markets; this may be due to differing macroeconomic conditions or expectations regarding interest rate developments.

This combination of Asian demand and Western restraint results in an overall weaker price development for gold despite its role as a crisis currency.

In summary, the current decline in the gold price by around -1.9% reflects a complex interplay of geopolitical uncertainties and diverging regional demand patterns – important factors for investors to assess further market developments.