12.04.2025

Okta: Growth Opportunities Despite Stock Decline

Introduction

Okta, a leading provider of identity and access management solutions, shows a positive weekly performance despite a current stock decline and is still regarded by experts as an attractive investment. This assessment is based on several factors pointing to a positive outlook for the future.

Financial Performance

In the fiscal year 2025, Okta achieved solid financial performance. Revenue increased by 15% to $2.610 billion, with subscription revenue rising by 16% to $2.556 billion. Although these growth rates are lower than in previous years, they continue to show a positive trend. Furthermore, Okta has improved its profitability, with a GAAP net income of $28 million, which represents a significant improvement compared to the previous year.

Forecasts and Outlook

For the fiscal year 2026, Okta expects revenue growth of 9 to 10%, indicating a slight slowdown compared to previous years. Nevertheless, the operating margins and cash flow remain strong, indicating efficient management. Analysts have revised their earnings forecasts upward for the upcoming period, suggesting potential upside opportunities.

Market and Competitive Landscape

Okta faces challenges from increasing competition, particularly from Microsoft, which can bundle identity solutions with other products. Despite these challenges, the growing IAM market and the potential for international growth present opportunities for Okta. However, recent security incidents may undermine customer trust and make new customer acquisition more difficult.

Valuation and Stock Performance

Okta’s stock is currently considered relatively expensive, with a high P/E ratio of over 1,650 for the year 2025. Nevertheless, the stock has demonstrated strong price performance in recent months, indicating sustained investor confidence in the company’s future viability. The recent stock decline contrasts with the positive long-term outlook.

Conclusion

Despite the current challenges and stock decline, Okta remains an attractive investment as the company continues to show growth potential and improve its operational efficiency. Expert opinions suggest that Okta has a positive long-term outlook, supported by strong financial performance and growth potential in the IAM market.