13.04.2025

UBS Stock Under Pressure: Causes, Reactions, and Outlook

Background and Causes

The UBS stock is currently under significant pressure, having lost 13.21 percent of its value over the last month and over 20 percent in the year-to-date. This development is attributed not only to global economic uncertainties but also to internal challenges facing the bank, such as issues with capital adequacy.

Global Economic Uncertainties

Global economic concerns and political factors such as trade wars and geopolitical tensions contribute to the uncertainty.

Internal Challenges

UBS faces challenges with capital adequacy, which has made investors skeptical.

Merging with Credit Suisse

The integration of Credit Suisse is proceeding smoothly; however, discussions about potential stricter equity requirements are impacting sentiment.

Reactions from Investors and Analysts

  • Dissatisfaction among Shareholders: Many shareholders are unhappy, particularly with the high compensation of the bank’s executives and discussions surrounding share buybacks.
  • Analyst Ratings: Despite the current weakness in stock prices, many analysts continue to recommend buying UBS stock, as the valuation level is considered attractive.
  • Political Uncertainty: The skepticism of the finance minister regarding reform proposals also contributes to uncertainty.

Outlook

UBS stock could be interesting for long-term investors, as the price-to-cash-flow ratio is attractive, and the projected P/E ratio for 2025 is 15.66. However, short-term uncertainty remains high, and investors should closely monitor further developments.

Comparison with Other Stock Ratings

  • Illinois Tool Works (ITW): UBS has lowered its price target for ITW but maintains a neutral rating, indicating cautious market conditions.
  • Tesla: UBS has given Tesla a “Sell” rating due to disappointing sales figures.
  • Infineon Technologies: UBS has maintained a “Buy” rating for Infineon, as the acquisition of a business segment from Marvell expands its portfolio.