17.04.2025

Rising Oil Prices: Geopolitical Tensions and Their Impact

Current Developments in the Oil Market

The recent increases in oil prices are influenced by the heightened pressure from the USA on Iran. This brings significant changes to the commodity markets, which may also affect private investors’ investments.

Current Oil Price Development

On April 14, 2025, oil prices for Brent stood at $64.59 per barrel, reflecting an increase of 2.26%, and for WTI at $61.48 per barrel, a rise of 2.38%. This recovery follows a phase of significant declines in the preceding days.

Factors Influencing Oil Prices

  • Geopolitical Tensions: The increased pressure from the USA on Iran could constrain Iranian oil exports and exert strain on the global oil market.
  • OPEC+ Production: The planned expansion of oil production by OPEC+ could reduce prices under current market conditions.
  • US Oil Production: The growing oil production in the USA could create downward price pressure due to rising supply.
  • Global Demand: A weak global economy could dampen demand and thus oil prices.

Impact on Investments

In the volatile world of the oil market, investments can represent a risky endeavor. Private investors should closely monitor the current market situation and geopolitical developments to make informed decisions. Trading in CFDs (Contracts for Difference) offers a way to benefit from market volatility.

Forecasts for 2025

Experts predict a supply surplus for 2025 that will pressure prices downwards. However, geopolitical conflicts and unexpected demand fluctuations could cause short-term price increases. LBBW expects a Brent price of around $70 per barrel by the end of 2025.

The oil market remains volatile and shaped by geopolitical developments. Investors should therefore adjust their investment strategies accordingly.