Basis of Optimism
Market expert Folker Hellmeyer argues for a positive market development, supported by structural factors that offer long-term opportunities despite short-term uncertainties. Potential driving forces include stable or rising corporate profits, a continuing loose monetary policy, and correction phases that could provide attractive entry points.
Strategic Recommendations
- Selective Positioning: Focus on crisis-resistant sectors such as infrastructure and renewable energies.
- Dynamic Risk Management: Use of stop-loss limits and regular rebalancing for risk control.
- Counter-Cyclical Investments: Focus on oversold markets that may be under pressure due to political uncertainties.
Contextual Market Assessments
Current forecasts illustrate the complexity of the markets through varying scenarios such as the DAX movements in Kagels trading and potential “Trump crash” scenarios with unclear trend reversals. In this regard, gap analysis remains an important recommendation for assessing the US market opening.
Critical Success Factors
Hellmeyer emphasizes the importance of disciplined rule implementation, avoidance of herd behavior, and consideration of macroeconomic indicators for investment success. Flexibility and active monitoring are essential to respond to unexpected market movements, such as political price crashes.