28.04.2025

ASML: Europe’s Hope in the Trillion-Dollar Club

The European stock mentioned in the articles, with the potential to rise to the Trillion-Dollar Club by 2030, is ASML. The Dutch company is the world’s leading provider of lithography systems for the semiconductor industry and plays a key role in the production of modern chips.

Background on ASML

  • Technological Advantage: ASML holds a monopoly on EUV lithography machines (Extreme Ultraviolet), which are essential for the production of 5nm and smaller chips.
  • Market Position: The demand for high-performance chips for AI, cloud computing, and IoT drives the business. ASML’s clients include TSMC, Samsung, and Intel.
  • Stock Price Development: Despite current order declines, long-term growth is expected as semiconductor manufacturers expand their capacities.

Comparison with Nvidia & Apple

Aspect ASML Nvidia/Apple
Industry Semiconductor Equipment AI Chips / Consumer Tech
Market Cap ~€350 billion (as of 2025) >$2 trillion (Nvidia: ~ $2 trillion)
Growth Drivers EUV Successor Technologies AI Hardware / Services

Risks & Opportunities

  • Opportunities:
    • Planned EU subsidies for chip factories could increase demand for ASML machines.
    • New technologies like High-NA EUV (from 2025) promise higher margins.
  • Risks:
    • Trade conflicts between the USA and China could disrupt supply chains.
    • Competition from alternative lithography methods (currently not foreseeable).

Other European Candidates in Focus

Although not directly mentioned, Rheinmetall is also highlighted as a “top pick” in other articles:

  • Rheinmetall benefits from the European armaments boom with price targets up to €1,800.
  • However, the market capitalization is significantly below one trillion USD (~€20 billion as of April 2025), which makes an ascent by 2030 unlikely.

For investors, ASML remains the most promising European candidate for entry into the Trillion-Dollar Club – provided that semiconductor demand remains consistent and political risks remain manageable.

Note: The forecasts are based on analyst assessments and are subject to market risks. Individual sources also refer to general megatrends such as AI or armaments technology as investment criteria.