06.05.2025

Nvidia Stock Analysis: Short-Term Recovery vs. Long-Term Challenges

Nvidia Stock Analysis: Current Developments and Forecasts

The Nvidia stock is currently showing mixed signals. While there are short-term recovery tendencies, long-term challenges remain. Here’s a detailed look at the current situation:

Current Price Development

  • Price Level: 99.53 EUR (as of 06.05.2025), after an increase to 101.14 EUR on 02.05., which broke through the 38-day line upwards.
  • Volatility: In recent trading days, there have been significant fluctuations: +8.63% on 02.05., -2.68% on 30.04.
  • Trends: In the short term, the stock is in an upward trend (since crossing the technical mark), but in the long term, it has been in a downward trend since March 2025.

Analysts’ Predictions and Ratings

Aspect Details
Average Price Target ~164 USD (finanzen.net) to ~170 USD (aktien.guide)
Highest Prediction Up to 235 USD for the year 2026
P/E Perspective Moderate at P/E=36 → ~200 USD possible by calendar year 2028
Recommendation Structure 34 out of 40 analysts recommend buying, 62 out of 69 see buying potential

Crucial Levels and Indicators

Technical Level: The renewed approach to the psychologically important 100 EUR mark may trigger further momentum.

Fundamental Drivers: Continued AI demand in data centers, EPS growth forecast at $4.42 for FY2026, and historical P/E potential with a return to an average of ~60.

Particularly for German-speaking investors, currency effects (EUR/USD) and European trading places with specific order costs are relevant. The risks include macroeconomic interest rate decisions, technology cycle risks in the AI sector, and competitive pressure from AMD/custom chips.

The current price point offers an asymmetric risk-return profile with clear upside potential, provided the short-term upswing stabilizes above technical support levels.