12.05.2025

Impact of a Trade Peace Agreement on the USD/CHF Exchange Rate

The USD/CHF exchange rate could be influenced by a trade peace agreement between the USA and China, as such agreements can improve market sentiment and strengthen the US dollar. Here are some key aspects relevant to private investors and savers:

Background: Trade Dispute Between the USA and China

The trade dispute between the USA and China has spanned several years and is characterized by tariffs and trade restrictions. A 90-day tariff reduction agreement could represent a decisive turning point in reducing tensions and improving trade relations.

Impact on the USD/CHF Exchange Rate

Such an agreement would likely improve market sentiment and strengthen the US dollar. If the US dollar gains value, this could lead to an increase in the USD/CHF exchange rate, meaning that investors would need more Swiss francs for one US dollar.

Importance for Private Investors and Savers

For private investors and savers, exchange rate movements are of great significance as they directly impact international investments and purchasing power:

  • International Investments: A stronger US dollar can make it more attractive for investors to invest in US assets, as these may appear cheaper compared to other currencies.
  • Purchasing Power: For savers invested in US dollars, a strengthening of the US dollar could enhance their purchasing power abroad, as they would be able to buy more goods and services overseas.

Current Developments

Currently, there are talks taking place between the USA and China in Geneva. These talks aim to settle the tariff dispute and could lead to an improvement in trade relations. Although Switzerland is merely hosting and does not play a mediating role, a successful outcome of these discussions could have positive impacts on global trade.

Conclusion

A trade peace agreement between the USA and China could strengthen the US dollar and influence the USD/CHF exchange rate. It is essential for private investors and savers to keep an eye on such developments, as they can have significant implications for international investments and purchasing power.