12.05.2025

OpenAI and Microsoft: Renegotiation of the Partnership

Background of the Partnership

Microsoft and OpenAI have a close partnership built on massive investments in AI technologies. Microsoft has invested significant funds in the development of AI data centers to support OpenAI in delivering AI services. Currently, 20% of OpenAI’s revenues go to Microsoft, which could be reduced to 10% by 2030.

Renegotiation and Possible Impacts

The renegotiation of terms could change the dynamics of the partnership. OpenAI apparently plans to halve the revenue share for Microsoft, meaning Microsoft could expect less income from this partnership. Despite these changes, Microsoft emphasizes the continuation of the partnership until 2030.

OpenAI’s IPO

A potential IPO of OpenAI could further influence the partnership. An IPO would allow OpenAI to operate more independently and could reduce its dependency on Microsoft. This may force Microsoft to develop alternative strategies for accessing AI technologies.

Impact on the Technology Stock Market

The renegotiation of the partnership and a possible IPO of OpenAI could have significant impacts on the technology stock market. Changes in the partnership could affect the perception of Microsoft’s ability to utilize and develop AI technologies, which may impact the value of Microsoft shares. Additionally, an IPO of OpenAI could create new investment opportunities and increase competition in the AI market.

Microsoft’s Strategy for AI Availability

Despite uncertainties in the partnership, Microsoft focuses on the broad availability of AI technologies. The company plans to launch affordable Surface devices with AI capabilities to facilitate access to AI for students and entry-level professionals. This strategy could help Microsoft strengthen its position in the AI market, regardless of the negotiations with OpenAI.

In summary, the renegotiation of the partnership between OpenAI and Microsoft could significantly impact access to AI technologies and the technology stock market. However, Microsoft’s focus on the broad availability of AI technologies could help mitigate the effects of these changes.