02.06.2025

Optimistic Signs for Nvidia Despite Challenges with China

Background: Nvidia and the China Challenge

Nvidia has been under pressure for some time as the US government has imposed export restrictions on high-performance chips to China. These measures particularly affect products used in AI development and training large language models. Nevertheless, Nvidia remains a central player in the AI age and is seen by analysts like Wedbush as one of the leading stocks in this sector.

Wedbush Analysis: Optimism Despite Uncertainties

Wedbush emphasizes in its update that possible easing of tensions through new trade agreements between the US and China could provide positive impulses for Nvidia. Such deals would not only loosen export restrictions but also strengthen investor confidence. Despite current tariff concerns and geopolitical tensions, Wedbush still sees potential for price gains for Nvidia.

The analysts maintain a positive outlook: the consensus among 63 analysts recommends a “Buy” rating with a median price target of $170.46 (as of June 2025), which represents an upside potential of about 26% compared to the last closing price. Even if short-term fluctuations due to political uncertainties are possible, the long-term growth potential remains intact.

Market Development and Geopolitical Significance

The development of the semiconductor market is closely linked to the relationships between the US and China. Defensive sectors may benefit in the short term from uncertainties over trade tariffs, but technology stocks like Nvidia remain attractive—especially because of their key role in AI innovations. The expectations for an easing through bilateral agreements could therefore lead to further strengthening of the stock price.

Summary

  • Optimistic Assessment: Wedbush sees potential for price gains for Nvidia despite current challenges with China.
  • Geopolitical Factors: Possible easing through new trade agreements could provide positive impulses.
  • Analyst Consensus: The majority of analysts recommend “Buy”; the median price target is significantly above the current price level.
  • Long-term Growth Potential: Despite short-term fluctuations, the long-term growth potential remains intact.

Investors should focus on further developments in US-China trade, as these could significantly impact the performance of technology stocks like Nvidia.