Current Valuation by Warburg Research
Warburg Research lowered its target price for BASF stock from 51 euros to 47 euros on June 2, 2025. However, the rating remains at ‘Hold’, indicating that analysts currently do not provide a clear buy or sell recommendation. This adjustment reflects a more cautious assessment of future developments, but is not fundamentally negative.
Significance for Private Investors
For private investors, the valuation from a reputable analysis firm such as Warburg Research serves as an important indicator:
- Market Signals: A reduction in the target price may indicate expected challenges or lower earnings expectations.
- Recommendation Framework: The ‘Hold’ rating signals neutrality—there is no advice to buy or sell.
- Context in Analyst Consensus: Other banks like DZ Bank continue to recommend ‘Buy’ with a higher target price (e.g., 60 euros), while the average target price according to consensus currently stands at about 51.77 euros.
- Current Stock Price: The last closing price was around 44.39 euros, meaning that Warburg Research’s new target still offers some room for upward potential.
Overview: Analyst Estimates on BASF
| Analysis Firm | Recommendation | Target Price (EUR) | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warburg Research | Hold | 47 | June 2025 |
| DZ Bank | Buy | 60 | May/June |
| Jefferies | – | – | – |
Note: The table shows only selected examples; over twenty analysis firms cover BASF in total.
Conclusion
The current valuation by Warburg Research underscores a cautious stance towards BASF stock. For private investors, this means: there is no urgent need for action—neither to buy nor to sell. Rather, further corporate news and market developments should be monitored. The broad consensus among analysts also highlights differing assessments, reflecting the complexity and uncertainty regarding future developments.