05.06.2025

Nvidia: Forecasts and Potential in Transition

Background and Analysis

Nvidia has experienced impressive growth in recent years, particularly due to its strength in the field of artificial intelligence (AI). The stock has recovered by 238% in 2023 and an additional 171% in 2024, although 2025 has thus far been less dynamic. However, recent quarterly figures still show substantial growth, with revenues of $44.06 billion and earnings of 96 cents per share in the second quarter of 2025, reflecting a 69% increase.

Jefferies Analysis

The Jefferies analysis highlights the potential expansion of Nvidia’s profit margins. Blayne Curtis, an analyst at Jefferies, has placed Nvidia on the list of “strongest convictions” and expects profit margins to rise significantly due to the new generation of Blackwell chips. These chips are considered technological advancements that can command higher prices in the market. The expected increase in margins from about 61% to 80% would be driven not only by higher sales volumes but also by the premium nature of the Blackwell chips.

Market Conditions and Growth Potential

Nvidia is benefiting from strong demand in the AI sector, particularly from projects exceeding 10 GW. This demand is bolstered by engagements in the region, such as in the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia. Additionally, there is growth in the networking sector, as NVIDIA Spectrum-X has acquired new customers like Google and Meta, and NVLink achieved over 1 billion euros in revenue in April.

Outlook for Investors

The forecast from Jefferies could be attractive for investors, as Nvidia holds a dominant position in the AI acceleration market. The anticipated increase in margins could lead to further stock appreciation, making Nvidia an interesting investment. However, it is important to keep an eye on the overall market conditions and the competitive landscape, as the technology sector evolves rapidly.

Overall, the Jefferies analysis offers an optimistic perspective on Nvidia, supported by the company’s technological innovation and strong market position.