08.06.2025

Outlook for the New Trading Week for the DAX

Market Developments

  • Weak US Data: Despite weak US data, the DAX was able to gain ground last week. This shows that European markets are increasingly operating independently of US data.
  • Volatility: The VDAX-New, a volatility index, provides insight into the expected fluctuation range of the DAX. High volatility could indicate uncertainties that investors should be aware of.

Trading Activities on Whit Monday

  • Holidays: Whit Monday is a public holiday in Germany, which could lead to lower trading volumes. This could affect prices as fewer market participants are active.
  • Reactions to Economic Data: Economic data released during the holidays may only fully impact the markets on Tuesday or later.

Technical Analysis and Trends

  • Record High: The DAX recently reached a new record high, indicating a strong upward movement. Such peaks can, however, also lead to corrections.
  • Long-term Trends: Stocks like Allane, which recently crossed below the 200-day line, could indicate a trend reversal.

Global Market Developments

  • Currency Markets: The development of currency pairs like NZD/USD could also influence the DAX, as global trade flows and currency fluctuations can impact European markets.
  • Technology Stocks: The performance of technology stocks, such as ASML, could also influence the DAX, as these are often seen as indicators of overall market development.

Overall, the upcoming trading week will be shaped by a combination of market developments, trading activities, and global economic data. Investors should pay attention to these factors to adjust their strategies accordingly.