Current Market Situation
The German stock market, particularly the DAX, is facing a number of challenges that are of great significance to private investors and small shareholders. DAX Development: The DAX has stabilized in recent months and shows a tendency to recover. In May 2025, the DAX closed at around 23,997 points, approximately 1,500 points more than at the end of 2024. Currently, the DAX is hovering around the 24,000-point mark and has experienced fluctuations in recent days.
Forecasts for 2025
Moderate growth is expected in the coming months. By September 2025, the DAX is projected to rise to about 23,688 points, which corresponds to a change of approximately 1.9%. Long-term, further rising prices are possible, with the trend channel and support lines being important indicators.
Challenges and Risks
Overbought Signals: Currently, there are overbought signals that might indicate a pause in the upward trend. This could lead to a consolidation before the DAX rises further. Global Factors: Markets are sensitive to global events such as earnings, tariffs, and fiscal risks in the USA. These factors can influence investor sentiment and lead to volatility.
Long-term Perspective
DAX Forecast until 2050: In the long term, the DAX is expected to continue rising, with a forecast of about 100,000 points by 2050 appearing realistic. This is based on the assumption that the trend channel will hold and there are no significant declines below the support lines.
Recommendations for Private Investors and Small Shareholders
Diversification: A diversified investment strategy can help minimize risks. Investors should invest in various asset classes to make their portfolios more resilient. Long-term Perspective: Private investors should focus on long-term trends and not react too strongly to short-term fluctuations. The DAX has shown in the past that it recovers well in the long term. Market Observation: It is important to keep an eye on current market developments and global events to respond to changes in a timely manner.
Overall, the DAX offers both opportunities and risks for private investors and small shareholders. Careful analysis of the market situation and a long-term perspective are crucial for successful investment decisions.