13.06.2025

Geopolitical Tensions and Their Effects on the DAX

Introduction

The DAX, Germany’s most important stock index, has lost significant value following the Israeli attack on Iran. This development is a clear example of how geopolitical tensions can affect the stock market. Here are some key aspects that private investors and savers should consider:

Effects on the DAX

  • Price Losses: The DAX fell by about 1.31 to 1.5 percent after the attack, leading to a range of 23,407 to 23,461 points. These losses are a direct reaction to the increased uncertainty in global markets.
  • Previous Highs: In the previous week, the DAX had reached a record high of 24,479 points, indicating that the recent geopolitical tensions play a significant role in the correction.

Reasons for Market Development

  • Geopolitical Tensions: The attack on Iranian nuclear facilities has further exacerbated already strained relations in the Middle East. This leads to increased uncertainty, prompting investors to prefer safe assets like government bonds and gold.
  • Rising Oil Prices: Rising oil prices as a consequence of tensions particularly burden stocks in the travel and aviation sectors, such as Lufthansa, Tui, and Fraport.

Investor Reactions

  • Search for Safe Assets: Investors are increasingly seeking safe assets to minimize risks. This results in a rise in demand for government bonds and precious metals like gold.
  • Defense Stocks: While the DAX overall is falling, defense stocks can benefit from the geopolitical tensions and rise.

Long-Term Effects

  • Risks of War: Analysts warn of the risks of war in the Middle East that have so far been underestimated. This uncertainty could further burden the markets.
  • Global Market Reactions: The tensions in the Middle East affect not only the DAX but also other global markets, leading to increased caution in investments.

Overall, recent events show that geopolitical tensions can have significant impacts on the stock market. Private investors and savers should be aware of these risks and adjust their investment strategies accordingly.