13.06.2025

Influence of Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East on the DAX

The recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly the Israeli attack on Iran, have significant effects on the German stock market. The DAX, a key indicator of economic sentiment in Germany, has fallen by 1.39 percent. This development is of great importance for private investors and small investors, as geopolitical crises often have direct impacts on stock prices.

Impact on the DAX

The DAX has performed positively in recent months, with a level of 23,997.48 points at the end of May 2025, which is about 1,500 points more than at the end of 2024. Despite this positive development, the recent decline has shown how vulnerable the market is to geopolitical tensions.

Geopolitical Tensions and the Stock Market

Geopolitical tensions can affect the stock market in several ways:

  • Investor Confidence: Crises in the Middle East can shake investor confidence, leading to a decline in stock prices.
  • Commodity Prices: Conflicts in the region can drive up commodity prices, particularly oil prices, which can negatively impact companies that are heavily dependent on these resources.
  • Economic Uncertainty: The uncertainty created by geopolitical tensions can lead to a reduction in investments and consumer spending.

Technical Analysis of the DAX

Technically, the DAX is in an overarching uptrend, but it is interrupted by short-term counter-reactions. The index has recently reached the lower Bollinger Band, which could trigger a recovery movement. The support at 23,271 points is an important level that the DAX must maintain to keep the long scenario intact.

Outlook for Private Investors and Small Investors

For private investors and small investors, it is important to keep an eye on geopolitical developments and adjust their investment strategies accordingly. Diversification and a long-term perspective can help minimize risks. Additionally, they should pay attention to technical signals that may indicate a potential trend reversal.

Overall, the decline of the DAX after the Israeli attack on Iran shows how sensitive the stock market is to geopolitical tensions. Private investors and small investors should be aware of these dynamics and make their investment decisions accordingly.