Current Price Development and Forecasts
- Price Movements: In June 2025, the Ethereum price ranges between approximately $2,420 and $2,626, about 7% below its previous highs. This weakness phase results not only from the situation in the Middle East but also from general market uncertainties and technical corrections.
- Technical Analysis: Analysts identify a risk zone around $2,150. If the price stays above this level, a recovery is possible; dropping below risks a decline to about $2,110.
- Long-term Forecasts: Despite short-term fluctuations, the medium- to long-term outlook is positive. Average prices of about $3,400 to peak values just below $6,000 are forecasted for 2025.
Implications for Private Investors and Retail Investors
- Volatility as a Risk: Price drops caused by geopolitical escalations weigh on private investors, especially with leveraged products or short-term trading.
- Long-term Perspective: Ethereum remains leading due to its infrastructure and upgrades. Institutional projects and real-world applications can provide stability.
- Recommendations: Retail investors should diversify, invest funds that are not needed in the short term, and utilize stop-loss marks or conduct regular rebalancing.
Conclusion: Is the Rally at Risk?
The current rally is vulnerable to geopolitical crises, visible in price movements. Nevertheless, analyses indicate that Ethereum could recover in the medium term, driven by technological advancements and institutional acceptance. For investors, short-term drops are accounted for, but the potential remains as long as there are no fundamental network or regulatory changes.