15.06.2025

Metaplanet: From Underdog to Speculative Stock

The Metaplanet stock has shown an extraordinary price development in recent months, which is of great interest to both investors and market observers. The development reflects a bold strategic shift by the company and underscores the importance of so-called “underdogs” in the stock market.

Price Development and Performance

  • Steep rise: In March 2025, the share price was around $1.51. Since then, there has been a rapid increase to a high of around $16, before a significant retracement occurred.
  • Current status: By mid-June 2025, the stock is trading around €9 (or approx. $9–$10), still below the psychologically important mark of $10 or $12.50.
  • Volatility and Volume: Trading volumes have reached record levels, indicating high attention and speculation.

Strategic Change

Metaplanet has made a radical strategic shift with its massive entry into Bitcoin:

  • Bitcoin holdings: The company currently holds around 7,800 Bitcoins – with an assumed price of about $110,000 per BTC, this corresponds to a value of around $860 million.
  • Market capitalization vs. Bitcoin value: Despite this substantial Bitcoin inventory, the market capitalization, at around five to seven billion euros, is significantly higher than the pure value of the cryptocurrencies – a sign of speculative overvaluation or high expectations for future developments.

Valuation Ratios

Metric Value (as of June/July)
P/E ratio (Price-Earnings ratio) Between approx. 1.07 and approx. 3.96, depending on the calculation method
Cash Flow per Share Approx. €1.25
Outstanding Shares Between approx. 500 million – 749 million, depending on calculation (partially diluted)

A low P/E ratio can generally be seen as a favorable signal; however, caution is advised: a very low P/E ratio can also indicate high loss risks or special circumstances.

What Happened with a €1,000 Investment?

It is assumed that an investment was made at the beginning of March:

  • Price at the beginning of March: Approx. $1.51 ≈ €1.40
    For €1,000 you would receive about: 714 shares
  • Price in mid-June: Approx. €9–€10
    Value of the position: €6,426 to €7,140

This means: An investment of €1,000 would have increased six to seven times within a few months – provided it was purchased at the low point. If invested later, the result would be correspondingly lower.

Significance for Private Investors

The Metaplanet story exemplifies:

  • Potential for strong returns through undetermined stocks, particularly when they make bold strategic decisions.
  • High risk due to volatility: The sharp price drop after the high underscores the risks of such investments.
  • Speculative investment: The valuation is far above the intrinsic value of the company – especially measured by the pure Bitcoin holdings.