17.06.2025

DAX Analysis: Between Soaring Heights and Consolidation

DAX Still on Course for Success?

The DAX has made significant gains since the beginning of 2025. With a level of around 23,997 points at the end of May, it recorded an increase of about 1,500 points compared to the end of 2024. The annual return varies between +19% and +28% depending on the source.

Market Situation and Technical Analysis

After a strong upward movement, the DAX might be running out of steam. The technical analysis suggests a consolidation phase, with many analysts expecting a ‘summer lull’ – a period of low volatility and little movement.

Important Price Levels

  • Supports: 23,476 / 23,287 / 23,190 / 23,000 points
  • Resistances: 23,768 / 23,911 / 24,000 / 24,152 points
  • Gaps: Gaps in the chart could be closed at around 22,607.

Volatility and Investor Strategies

The VDAX-New, which measures DAX volatility, is currently at 23–24%. Investors in a sideways phase could consider the following strategies:

  • Range Trading: Buy near support, sell near resistance.
  • Dividend Strategy: Focus on high-dividend DAX stocks.
  • Options Strategies: Hedging or additional income through premiums.
  • Diversification: Expansion into other markets or asset classes.

Top Performers and Flops

Period Top Performer Flop
YTD Rheinmetall (+186%) Porsche (-29%)
Last Year Siemens Energy (+279%) Porsche (-42%)
Last Several Years Rheinmetall (+2,238% over several years) Bayer (-60% over several years)

Conclusion

After the soaring heights, the DAX faces a potential sideways movement. Active management is needed: Opportunities lie in range trading and dividend strategies, while buy-and-hold may be less effective.