The CrowdStrike stock (NASDAQ: CRWD) experienced a notable increase of $12.64 on June 18, 2025, reaching $492.03. Nevertheless, the stock is currently considered overvalued based on the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This means that the market price is relatively high compared to recent price movements and buying momentum.
Technical Analysis
The Relative Strength Index signals an overvaluation of the stock at the current price level of $492.03. A high RSI value typically indicates that the stock may be overbought in the short term and a correction is possible.
Fundamental Data
- An EPS (Earnings Per Share) loss of -$0.64 is projected for CrowdStrike in 2025, which represents a slight improvement compared to the previous year.
- EBITDA is estimated at around $93.5 million, with strong growth potential up to $1.9 billion by 2028.
- Expected increase in EBITDA margin from 2.37% in 2025 to over 26% by 2028.
- Net profit forecasts are volatile, with a net loss of -$109 million in 2026, but positive profits are expected from 2027 onwards.
- Long-term improvement of net margins is anticipated.
Market Assessment
Analysts’ opinions are mixed: Mizuho Securities USA has slightly raised the price target to around $450 but maintains a “neutral” rating and sees the risk-reward ratio as balanced. Despite strong demand for products like Falcon Flex, the revenue growth trend remains moderate.
Conclusion
The valuation of CrowdStrike stock reflects high expectations for future growth but carries uncertainties regarding short-term profitability. The RSI indicates overvaluation. Investors should carefully weigh technical warning signals and fundamental data before investing or adjusting their positions.
Sources:
[1] Forecast data on EPS, EBITDA & net profit
[3] Current analyst assessments & price target adjustments