18.06.2025

Geopolitical Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and Their Economic Consequences

The Strait of Hormuz is one of the most significant waterways for international trade in oil and gas. About 20 percent of the global oil trade navigates through it. In light of current geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly in response to Israeli airstrikes, Iran threatens to blockade this strait.

Current Situation and Iran’s Threats

Iran is seriously considering blocking the Strait of Hormuz. High-ranking Iranian officials have stated that this measure is being examined and there are plans for a possible implementation. The threats include mining the waters and possible attacks on tankers with rockets and drones. Since the shipping lanes for large tankers are often only a few kilometers wide, a blockade could halt the essential transport of oil and gas deliveries.

Impact on International LNG Trade and European Gas Prices

The Strait of Hormuz is a bottleneck for transporting large quantities of liquefied natural gas (LNG) and crude oil. A blockade would have serious implications for energy security in Europe, which heavily depends on imports from this region. Such a supply shortage would drastically increase gas prices in Europe.

Importance for Investors

This development presents increased volatility in energy markets for investors and potentially sharply rising energy prices. The uncertainty surrounding a possible blockade leads to speculative market movements and could cause significant price increases in the short term.

In summary, Iran threatens to blockade the strategically significant Strait of Hormuz in light of the current conflicts in the Middle East. This strait is essential for global oil and gas trade. An actual blockade would cause significant supply shortages and particularly lead to a sharp increase in gas prices in Europe—a scenario with far-reaching economic consequences for consumers and investors.