Gold Price on Record Hunt
The current gold rally is significantly driven by geopolitical crises and increasing debt, which is leading investors to flee to the precious metal, bringing the gold price onto a sustained upward trend. Therefore, experts see good chances that the gold price could soon reach the mark of $4000 per ounce – a level that is very relevant for private investors and small investors.
Reasons for the Increase in Gold Prices
- Geopolitical Uncertainties: Trade conflicts such as the one between the USA and China, along with increased tariffs, create uncertainty in the markets. This uncertainty drives investors into safe assets like gold.
- Growing National Debt: Global debt has reached record levels (e.g., $123 trillion according to the Kiel Institute), diminishing confidence in government bonds as safe havens.
- Inflation Fears: Despite contrary assessments by the Fed, rising prices and cost increases are leading to increased demand for inflation-protected assets like gold.
Expert Predictions for Gold Price 2025
- Goldman Sachs predicts a rise to up to $3700 by the end of 2025, with a potential peak of around $3880 in the case of a recession in the USA. In a high-risk scenario, the price could even rise to $4500, which would mean a return of over 70%.
- JP Morgan expects in the base scenario a price rise to about $4000 next year, supported by increased probabilities of recession as well as trade conflicts.
- Other AI-based predictions are more conservative, with prices around $3000 to slightly below $4000 by the end of the year, with some models coming close to the mark of just under $3950.
Significance for Private Investors and Small Investors
A possible jump in the gold price to or above the mark of $4000 is particularly relevant:
- It signals a phase of high market volatility and economic uncertainty.
- Private investors can benefit from early positioning, especially when traditional asset classes are under pressure.
- Diversification with physical gold or gold-based ETFs is gaining further importance in light of fluctuating stock markets and uncertain government bond yields.
Conclusion
The combination of geopolitical crises, rising debt worldwide, and inflation concerns is currently creating strong demand for gold. Expert opinions confirm a clear upward trend with realistic chances that the price could soon be at or even above $4000 per ounce – a scenario that both institutional and private investors should closely monitor.