08.07.2025

The Increasing Dependency on Basic Old-Age Security: Challenges and Opportunities

The increasing dependency of retirees on basic old-age security is a central economic and socio-political issue in Germany. These developments not only affect the individuals concerned but also have far-reaching consequences for the entire old-age security system, public finances, and overall economic stability.

Background: Basic Old-Age Security

Basic old-age security is a social benefit for individuals aged 67 and older whose income (including pension) is below the subsistence minimum. It is intended to ensure that older individuals without sufficient personal means can afford their living expenses. In contrast to the citizen’s allowance, which primarily supports the unemployed, basic old-age security explicitly targets retirees.

Development of Dependency

In recent years, the number of retirees reliant on basic security has steadily increased. The reasons for this include:

  • Low Pension Payments: Many individuals receive only minimal state or private pension benefits after a long working life.
  • Demographic Change: An aging society leads to a larger number of older people at a higher risk of poverty.
  • Precarization of the Labor Market: Uncertain employment conditions and low-wage jobs contribute to low contributions to the statutory pension scheme.
  • Rising Cost of Living: Particularly rent and healthcare costs burden the budgets of many older individuals.

Impact on Social Security Systems

The growing dependency on basic security presents a challenge for the German social security system:

  • Financial Burdens: More beneficiaries mean higher expenses for the state.
  • Pressure for Reform: There is a political need for action to stabilize the statutory pension and to improve private savings options.
  • Social Inequality: The increasing group of older individuals at risk of poverty exacerbates social tensions.

Relevance for Investors and Savers

For private investors and savers, these developments are relevant for several reasons:

  1. Pension Policy as an Economic Factor
    • Changes in social policy can influence taxes, levies, and government support programs.
    • Reforms could create incentives or obligations for private old-age provision.
  2. Economic Stability
    • An increasing number of needy older individuals can dampen consumer spending and thus be relevant for the overall economy.
    • Increased government spending could lead to higher taxes or debts.
  3. Investment Decisions
    • Uncertain state security mechanisms increase the demand for private pension products such as Riester pensions or company pensions.
    • Investors may need to prepare for volatile demand for certain financial products.

Current Measures and Reform Approaches

To counter the problem, various measures have already been implemented:

  • Pension Adjustments 2025: The current pension value will increase by 3.74% to €40.79 as of July 1, 2025; the security level will remain at a minimum of 48%.
  • Minimum Protection Clauses are intended to prevent the level of the statutory pension from declining further.
  • Discussion of additional reform steps such as better support programs for private provision or adjustments to the contribution assessment limits.

Conclusion

The increasing dependency on basic old-age security poses both challenges and opportunities for reforms and investments. A comprehensive engagement with the topic is essential for a sustainable pension policy.