The BASF stock is currently in a critical phase, mainly due to the recent preliminary quarterly numbers and the difficult market environment.
Disappointing Quarterly Numbers
In the second quarter of 2025, sales decreased by 2.1% to 15.77 billion euros, which was below analysts’ expectations. The EBIT is projected to be significantly below the average estimates at approximately 0.49 billion euros. Furthermore, the outlook for EBITDA before special items has been revised down from the previous range of 8.0 to 8.4 billion euros to now between 7.3 and 7.7 billion euros. These figures reflect a certain weakness.
Technical Recovery Trends
Despite these challenges, the stock has recently shown a slight recovery: On July 9, it surpassed the important technical mark of the 50-day line at around 43.56 euros and even recorded a price increase of over one percent the following day. Nevertheless, the stock has been in a long-term downward trend since the end of April.
What Does This Mean for Investors?
- The preliminary numbers signal weaker operational performance than expected.
- The adjusted annual outlook indicates a more challenging environment.
- Technically, there are short-term positive impulses from exceeding important moving averages.
- However, caution remains warranted in the long term due to the ongoing downward trend.
Whether there will be a larger price collapse or just a temporary correction largely depends on further corporate numbers as well as the overall market environment. Therefore, investors should closely monitor the publication of the final Q2 report at the end of July and also consider macroeconomic factors.
Conclusion: A price collapse is not imminent, but the BASF stock is under pressure due to disappointing numbers and a challenging market – a negative turn is possible and relevant for investors.